By Paul Shalala
Zambia’s 5,166,088
voters are on 20th January, 2015 expected to vote in a presidential
election which pundits are already predicting to be too close to call.
11 candidates
have so far been confirmed by the Electoral Commission of Zambia (ECZ) to have
validly filed in their nominations and will contest the poll which has been necessitated
by the death of Zambia’s fifth President Michael Sata who died on 28th
October 2014 in the United Kingdom.
Printing of the
ballot papers has even commenced in South Africa where political party
represents are monitoring the process.
During the 2011
General Elections which ushered the late president into office, 10 presidential
candidates contested for the top job in the land.
This time, the
ballot paper is expected to be a long one and voters are expected to have a
wide range of choices from the list of candidates.
But who are
these candidates? Where did they come from? What do they stand for?
These are the
three questions this article seeks to answer.
As a way of
giving voters more information, I will analyse all the candidates in
alphabetical order according to their surnames.
- Chanda, Eric
Eric Chanda is in
the presidential race for the very first time. To those who follow Zambian
politics, Eric is not new. Initially, he was one of the youths late President
Michael Sata used to be seen with.
He went on to
serve as Patriotic Front National Youth Secretary at the time the now ruling
party was in opposition. Mr Chanda signaled his quest for high office in 2011
when he tried unsuccessfully to run as PF parliamentary candidate for Munali
Constituency during the run up to the 2011 general elections.
After losing
the adoptions to now Chiefs and Traditional Affairs Minister Prof Nkandu Luo,
Mr Chanda left the Patriotic Front and kept a low profile.
He later
emerged as General Secretary for the opposition Alliance for a Better Zambia
(ABZ) which is headed by Catholic Priest Father Frank Bwalya who also fell out
with the PF after heavily campaigning for it to dislodge the MMD in 2011.
In January
2014, Mr Chanda again resigned his position in ABZ after a disagreeing with the
clergyman and formed his own political party the Fourth Revolution Party on
whose ticket he is running for president on 20 January, 2014.
Little is known
about about Mr Chanda’s ideological stance but he was a radical leftist during
his time in the PF. At one time, he led a team of Zambian youths from various
political parties to a Youth Summit in China where he praised China’s rise to
economic prosperity and its determination to lift millions of its citizens from
poverty.
Mr Chanda’s
constituency seems to be the young people who he urged to overwhelmingly vote
for him when he filed in his nomination at the Supreme Court earlier this
month.
- Chipimo, Elias Jr
Elias Chipimo,
Jr is the President of the National Restoration Party (NAREP), a party he
founded in 2010. Before that, Mr Chipimo was a Corporate Lawyer.
This will be
the second time this 49 year son of a former diplomat and politician will take
part in the presidential race.
In 2011, Mr Chipimo got 0.3% of the total
votes and came out fifth in a race where 10 contestants where vying for Plot 1.
During the 4
years NAREP has been on the political scene, Mr Chipimo has campaigned for his
party in several parliamentary by-elections but has not produced any member of
parliament.
His campaign
seems to be on values and the human heart. These are the guiding principles he
has been campaigning on.
Mr Chipimo
enjoys considerable support among young people, especially those on the
internet.
During the
launch of his party in March 2010, several young people where seen with laptops
at the function, signaling the birth of an ‘internet’ party which Zambia has
not had.
- Hichilema, Hakainde
Popularly known
as HH, Hakainde Hichilema is a 52 year old politician whose debut in the
presidential race was in 2006 following the demise of United Party for National
Development (UPND) founding President Anderson Mazoka.
An accountant
by profession, Mr Hichilema has contested all presidential elections since 2006
and next month’s polls will be his fourth.
In 2006, he got
25% of the presidential votes and came third in the race.
In the 2008
presidential election which followed the death of President Levy Mwanawasa, Mr
Hichilema’s percentage dropped to 19% but maintained his third spot.
In the last
presidential election in 2011, he again came out third but his percentage again
dropped to 18%.
In the 2015
presidential election, Mr Hichilema is seen as a joint front runner together
with Patriotic Front candidate Edgar Lungu.
He is
campaigning on a platform of change, free education, enacting a new constitution
by 2016, economic prosperity and unity for the nation.
Through his
Zambia United campaign, Mr Hichilema has flown to all provinces gannering
support for his bid with a diverse group of politicians from MMD, UPND and an
independent lawmaker.
With the aid of
a chartered helicopter, the opposition leader has this time around campaigned
in traditional PF strongholds of Luapula, Muchinga and Northern Provinces which
he rarely visited in his previous presidential campaigns.
With the
support of eminent politicians and Zambians like former Commerce Minister Dipak
Patel, former First Lady Maureen Mwanawasa, former Finance Minister Katele
Kalumba, former Justice Minister Sebastian Zulu, former Finance Minister Dr,
Situmbeko Musokotwane, Lunte MP Felix Mutati, ADD President Charles Milupi,
Lubansenshi Independent MP Patrick Mucheleka and PF Kasama Central MP Geoffrey
Bwalya Mwamba (GBM), Hichilema hopes he can pull a surprise next month through
the ballot box.
- Kaunda, Tilyenji
Tilyenji Kaunda
is entering the presidential race for the second time within 3 years.
His debut in
2011 was disastrous as he only received a paltry 0.3% of the presidential votes
and came out sixth in a race of ten candidates.
A son of
Zambia’s first president, Tilyenji is the presidential candidate of Zambia’s
independence party UNIP.
Described as
‘The Obama of Zambia’ by his supporters, Tilyenji prefers door to door
campaigns as opposed to the usual holding of public rallies in public places.
In this
presidential campaign, Tilyenji has been campaigning in markets where the
Zambia Police Service has not been giving him a good eye.
UNIP’s campaign
has been on reviving the various companies that were privatized or closed after
the party lost power in 1991.
Tilyenji has
been telling his supporters that Zambians are suffering due to the state’s
failure to revive the UNIP-era companies which employed a lot of people and fed
the nation.
Apart from
fighting for this year’s election, Tilyenji is also fighting for UNIP’s own
survival following the loss of its only Member of Parliament in 2011 and now
remains with a few councilors dotted across the country.
- Lungu, Edgar
Edgar Lungu is
a new comer to the presidential race and straight away shoots to the
frontrunner status with Hakainde Hichilema of the UPND as the favourites to
scoop the 20 January 2015 polls.
The 58 year old
presidential hopeful is a lawyer by profession who is currently serving as
Justice and Defence Minister.
Mr Lungu, is
the member of parliament for Chawama Constituency in Lusaka and is also the
President of the ruling Patriotic Front.
He was elected
party president at the PF General Conference earlier this month to succeed late
President Sata who led the party from inception in 2001 till his death in
October 2014.
Mr Lungu is one
of the founders of the PF and is the only serving MP among the 11 candidates
vying for State House.
As the ruling
party candidate, Mr Lungu goes into the race with the advantage of the
incumbency. He will rely on the image of the late President Michael Sata and
his achievement especially in infrastructure development to woo voters.
His campaign
slogan dubbed ‘ifintu ni Lungu’ has excited young people and it has gone viral
on social media.
In his
countrywide campaigns, Mr Lungu has recived endorsements not only from his own
PF MPs but also from the opposition MMD and a number of presidential hopefuls
who have withdrawn from the presidential race.
Among prominent
Zambians who have endorsed Mr Lungu’s presidential bid are People’s Party President
Mike Mulongoti, People’s Democratic Party President George Mpombo, National
Revolution Party President Cozmo Mumba, Nationalist Party President President
Ackim Ngosa, ABZ President Fr. Frank Bwalya, UPND MPs Greyford Monde and
Richwell Siamunene, 21 MMD National Executive Committee members and several
others.
During late
President Sata’s reign, Mr Lungu was the one who was given more chances to Act
as President when the head of state left the country.
It is from this
basis that his campaign team is telling Zambians that the PF candidate was
chosen for his humility and stability during the time he briefly led the
country.
6. Miyanda, Godfrey
Brigadier
General Godfrey Miyanda is a career soldier who after leaving the armed forces,
has served in various capacities in government.
The former
republican Vice President has contested and lost every presidential election
since 2001.
He is one of
the 22 ministers the late President Chiluba fired in 2001 after they opposed
his plot to run for president for a third unconstitutional term.
After his
dismissal, Brig. Gen. Miyanda formed the Heritage Party which he has led ever
since.
In 2001 he got
7% of the votes and came out 7th.
In 2006 his
percentage dropped to 1.5% of the votes and come out fourth.
During the 2008
presidential elections, Brig. Gen. Miyanda got his tally to 0.7% and maintained
his fourth spot and in the 2011 polls, he dropped his percentage to 0.1% and
came out 9th.
Many observers
argue that the General’s lack of continuous engagement in non-election periods
makes him lose touch with the electorates.
He is a man who
is known to go into elections without holding campaigns in public places.
Over the years,
Brig. Gen. Miyanda has been preaching what he calls the ‘Village Concept’ where
government is supposed to make villages more developed and cared for so that
the rural poor can also enjoy life as does the urban dwellers.
General Miyanda
is a campaigner of constitutionalism who occasionally writes long articles on
the constitution making process and the need for governments to observe the
rule of law.
During the
public sittings of the on-going Legal and Justice Sector Reforms Commission in
Lusaka a few months ago, Brig. Gen Miyanda spent over an hour submitting
proposals to reduce presidential powers and restraining politicians from
abusing law enforcement agencies from harassing political enemies.
Some have
described the retired General as Zambia’s best presidential candidate for his
deep insight into the constitutionalism but his disastrous election results
call for a change in his campaign strategy.
7. Mumba, Nevers
His stay in Mwanawasa’s New Deal government was shortlived as he was fired after a year in office and he went on to form yet another party called the Reform Party.
8. Nawakwi, Edith
She is the only
woman in the race just like she was in 2011.
Her first
attempt in 2011 was disastrous as she got 0.2% of the votes and lagged behind
at 7th out of 10 candidates. At least she beat three men who trailed
her in the race.
The tough
talking opposition leader was one of the founders of the MMD who fought the
UNIP government in its dying years.
She served in a
number of Cabinet portfolios in the Frederick Chiluba-led MMD government until
2001 when she was fired after opposing the late president’s unconstitutional
third term bid.
She later
joined the newly formed Forum for Democracy and Development (FDD), a party
formed by former Cabinet ministers who opposed the infamous FTJ Third Term bid.
Ms Nawakwi was
elected FDD President in 2005 after the demise of its founding president Lt.
Gen. Christon Tembo and she has led the party ever since.
In her reign, FDD
has seen the number of its Members of Parliament reduce to one in the current
session of the National Assembly.
Her campaign in
the current presidential campaigns is on economic management and the fight
against corruption.
Ms Nawakwi has
been receiving a lot of support from the women’s movement since she started
contesting presidential elections.
At the launch
of her presidential bid earlier this month, Ms Nawakwi was flanked by several
women’s rights activists who took turns preaching that Zambia is now ready for
a woman president.
During the November
2013 Mansa Central Parliamentary by-election, FDD beat MMD, UPND and UNIP to
come out second just behind the PF.
The party described
its performance in Mansa as the beginning of their winning streak towards the
next general elections.
- Pule, Dan
Dr. Dan Pule is
a Zambian preacher and politician who is popularly known for his Dunamis Fire
Impact religious programs on Trinity Broadcasting Network (TBN) in Zambia.
Dr Pule is the
founder of the Lusaka-based Dunamis Christian Center which is located in Mass
Media area.
His first step
into politics was in the Frederick Chiluba-led MMD government where he served
as Science and Technology Minister before he went back to ministry.
In the run up to
the 2011 general elections, Dr Pule was a bit active in the campaigns but it
was until 2013 when he openly came on the political frontby forming his own
Christian Democratic Party (CDP) on whose ticket he is contesting the 2015
Presidential Elections.
According to Dr
Pule, once his party wins the polls, it will make Christian education
compulsory in all schools countrywide as this is the basis on which Zambia was
declared a Christian nation in 1996.
He says
Christian education is the only way issues such as defilement can be fought.
CDP also
promises free education up to university.
- Sinkamba, Peter
Peter Sinkamba
can proudly call himself a ‘Jubilee baby’ just like thousands of other Zambians
who are celebrating their 50th birthday this year at the same time
with the nation’s 50th independence anniversary.
The Green Party
presidential candidate was born in Namwala District of Southern Province in
1964 and maybe the only environmental activist among the 11 presidential
contenders.
During Zambia’s
transition from the one party state to multi-party politics in 1991, Mr
Sinkamba was a student leader who fought along with the Movement for
Multi-party Democracy (MMD).
His role in
politics did not last as he disappeared from the public eye only to resurface
in 1998 when he founded the Citizens for a Better Environment, an NGO which has
been vocal on environmental issues, especially on the Copperbelt.
In the run up to
the 2011 General Elections, he entered fulltime politics and founded the Zambia
People’s Pact, a platform on which he helped campaign for the PF to win the
elections.
But in May
2013, the Kitwe-based politician left the PF and formed his own political party
called Green Party.
The party has
contested a number of parliamentary and local government by-elections but has
not won any so far.
Mr Sinkamba has
of late grabbed the headlines for suggesting that if he wins the elections, he
would legalise the use of marijuana for medicinal purposes and would disband
the Drug Enforcement Commission.
His much
publicized Presidential Campaign launch in the drug den of Chibolya compound in
Lusaka could not take place earlier this month due to heavy rains.
In this
campaign, Mr Sinkamba has received wide spread support from Rastamen who
believe in ‘legalising’ weed which they usually sing in reggae songs.
- Sondashi, Ludwig
He is mostly
remembered for having served as Minister of Works and Supply.
After leaving
government, Dr Sondashi went on to become the founder of the Sondashi Formular
2000 (SF2000) which he claims has cured several HIV patients.
He later
founded the Forum for Democratic Alternatives (FDA), a party he believes has
the right leadership Zambia desparately needs.
In his campaign
for the 2015 Presidential Elections, Dr Sondashi has a three point plan he has
been campaigning on.
He has promised
that if elected president, he will roll out his SF2000 for free to all Zambians
living with the HIV virus.
Dr Sondashi has
also promised to restore the Barotseland Agreement of 1964, a thorny issue
which ignites emotions in the Western Province.
He has also
promised to transform Zambia into a federal state to allow provinces run their
affairs.
He blames the
current poverty and underdevelopment in the country to what he calls the
over-centralised government in Lusaka.
Dr Sondashi is
running for president for the first time.
Conclusion
This
presidential election is too close to call. It is probably one of the most
heavily funded campaign as can be seen by the number of planes and helicopters
being used by various candidates.
Just like in
2011, social media has proved to be another battleground by political party and
candidates. Opinion polls and counter opinion polls will be the order of the
day as young people from various political parties try to outdo each other.
All parties,
except UNIP, are present on Facebook where statuses and photos of their ‘mammoth’ rallies are being posted on a
daily basis to show the public that they are ‘popular’ ‘doing fine’ and
‘winning.’
The
overwhelming interest by the public in this election is a good sign that
citizen participation is high in Zambia. That’s one of the tenets of democracy.
Winning an election through public support gives a leader legitimacy.
But what is
likely to affect this election is apathy. Recent by-elections have seen a sharp
drop in voter turnout with some areas recording as low as 20% of registered
voters in a particular constituency.
This is due to
the fact that continuous voter registration as provided by electoral laws is
not being implemented. The ECZ is still using the 2011 Voters Register whose
data was collected in 2010. This means some of the 5,100,00 registered may have
died, shifted to other constituencies or countries and some may have lost their
voters cards and are hesitant to replace them.
Secondly, there
is voter fatigue. There are numerous by-elections and people are tired of
voting. During 5 parliamentary by-elections held on September 11, 2014,
Kasenengwa constituency recorded the highest turn out at 48% but that was far
short of acceptable standards.
During a recent
regional workshop on elections in Lusaka, ECZ Director Priscilla Isaac
attributed aparthy to voter fatigue saying political parties needed to do more
to encourage their members to be turning up in numbers to cast their ballot.
All factors
being equal, the Zambian people will have the final say on 20th
January, 2015 and they will choose a president of their own, one who will lead
the nation to the next scheduled General Elections in 2016.